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Edward O. Thorp's Decision framework

Overview

Applied mathematics and probability to gambling, arbitrage, and investing.

Style

Probability, arbitrage, position sizing, risk

Firm

Princeton/Newport Partners

Period

1932-

Edward O. Thorp

Decision framework

A practical checklist for turning philosophy into action.

Beginner decision framework

When studying Edward O. Thorp, convert the style into a clear process before using real capital. A process keeps decisions from being driven only by news or emotion.

Do I understand this asset or business?

What is the main edge or thesis?

What would prove me wrong?

If wrong, how much can I lose and can I recover?

Does this decision fit my time horizon and temperament?