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Edward O. Thorp's Biggest mistakes

Overview

Applied mathematics and probability to gambling, arbitrage, and investing.

Style

Probability, arbitrage, position sizing, risk

Firm

Princeton/Newport Partners

Period

1932-

Edward O. Thorp

Biggest mistakes

Where the approach can fail and what to watch for.

Mistakes to avoid

No investing style is immune to mistakes. When studying Edward O. Thorp, look at the downside of the method: when it can be misused, when it needs special conditions, and what beginners often misunderstand.

Becoming overconfident after a few correct outcomes.

Using a method that does not fit your time horizon or temperament.

Ignoring capital management because the thesis feels strong.