Step 02
Investment Mindset
Build probabilistic thinking, risk management, and long-term decision-making in uncertain environments.
Lesson list
Lesson 1
Investing vs Speculation vs Gambling
Distinguish the nature of each activity to choose an appropriate strategy.
Lesson 2
Common Early Investing Mistakes
Identify common beginner mistakes to protect capital and build discipline from the start.
Lesson 3
Reasonable Return Expectations
Set realistic expectations to avoid emotional decisions.
Lesson 4
Probabilistic Thinking and Expected Value
Apply probabilistic thinking to optimize long-term decisions.
Lesson 5
Risk and Margin of Safety
Quantify risk to protect capital effectively.
Lesson 6
Uncertainty and the Limits of Forecasting
Understand forecasting limits to reduce the illusion of control.
Lesson 7
The Overconfidence Trap
Identify overconfidence bias to limit repeated mistakes.
Lesson 8
Market Cycles and Crowd Psychology
Recognize cycles and crowd psychology to adjust strategy.
Lesson 9
Doing Nothing Is Also a Decision
Maintain patient discipline to avoid excessive trading.
Lesson 10
Market Narratives and Intrinsic Value
Separate narrative from value to make objective valuations.
Lesson 11
Circle of Competence
Stay within areas of understanding to improve the odds of success.
Lesson 12
Long-Term Thinking and Sustainability
Prioritize long-term perspective to maximize sustainable growth.
Lesson 13
Investment Decision Process
Build a clear process for consistent decision-making.