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Investing basics2001, rev. 2021

Expectations Investing

Michael J. Mauboussin and Alfred Rappaport

Teaches how to read the expectations already embedded in a stock price and judge what a company must deliver for the investment to work.

Checklist

Do I have a rule to understand the business before the ticker?

Do I have a rule to separate market price from economic value?

Do I have a rule to test the thesis against evidence?

Do I have a rule to build a process before committing capital?

Write down what would invalidate the thesis.

Set a review date before acting.